SAO PAULO (ICIS) – Ibiciro bya Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) bishobora kugabanuka kugera ku madolari 800 kuri toni mu gihe kirekire niba peteroli igumye ku gipimo cya $70-90 kuri buri ngano, kuko ikibazo cy’imiterere y’ingufu giterwa n’intambara ya Irani ari ugushyigikira abakora ibikoresho by’ibiciro byo ku nkombe z’inyanja ya Amerika nka Orbia, nk’uko byatangajwe n’umuyobozi mukuru w’ikigo gishinzwe imiti muri Megizike ku wa gatatu.
Sameer Bharadwaj yavuze ko niba peteroli iguma hejuru ya $60 ku icupa, ibiciro bya PVC "bitari gushoboka" ko bizasubira ku giciro cya mbere cya $600 ku itoni, nubwo yemeye ko itangwa rikomeje kuba rinini ku isi.
Mu mpera za Mata, ibiciro bya PVC byari hafi $750 kuri toni. Mu ntangiriro z'uyu wa gatatu, ibiciro bya Brent byagurishijwe kuri $117.55 kuri buri gati.
“Icyo tubona ubu ni uguhungabana kw’ibicuruzwa, kandi kwiyongera kw’ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa nibyo byatumye ibiciro bya PVC bizamuka. PVC iraboneka mu bwinshi buhagije - ikibazo si ubuke, ni ikiguzi. Ibiciro biri hejuru kuko ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa ni byinshi. Aho bigarukira biterwa n’aho peteroli igera mu mezi ari imbere,” ibi ni ibyavuzwe na Bharadwaj.
“Niba ibikomoka ku bimera biguma hejuru cyane y’amadolari 60 ku icupa, ibiciro biri hasi bya amadolari 600-700 kuri toni ntibishoboka ko bizagaruka. Niba bihagaze hagati ya amadolari 70-90 ku icupa, wakwitega ko PVC izahagarara hafi amadolari 800 kuri toni mu gihe kirekire, ibyo bikaba ari umusaruro mwiza ku nganda.”
“Ni ngombwa kandi kuzirikana ko itandukaniro ry’umuvuduko w’imikorere hagati y’igice cyo hasi n’icyo hejuru cy’uruhererekane rwa PVC ritari rinini cyane: aho amazi aturuka ni hafi 76% naho aho hejuru ni hafi 82-83%,” yongeyeho, ubwo yaganiraga n’abanyamakuru n’abasesenguzi b’imigabane y’ibinyabutabire nyuma y’uko Orbia itangaje mu ntangiriro z’iki cyumweru ibyavuye mu bushakashatsi ku bijyanye n’imari mu gihembwe cya mbere cy’umwaka.
Umuhinzikwiyongera kw'ibicuruzwa n'inyungumu gihe cya mbere cy'umwaka, kandi yagabanyije igihombo cyayo mu gihe yongera kwemeza amabwiriza y'inyungu zayo mu 2026 - reba imbonerahamwe y'ibanze ku bijyanye n'imari yose.
INTAMBARA YATUNGUYE IKINTU CYIZA
Nubwo PVC ikomeza kuba nyinshi cyane –nabikomeje kubakimwe mu bicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga by’ingenzi mu BushinwaIbicuruzwa bya peteroli bitewe n’uko abantu babikeneye mu gihugu - intambara yo mu Burasirazuba bwo Hagati yahinduye burundu imiterere ya Orbia, aho PVC ari yo ikoreshwa cyane mu ishami ryayo.
Iyi kompanyi yatangaje ko yateye imbere cyane mu ishami ryayo rishinzwe ibisubizo bya polymer, bitewe n’ihungabana rikomeye ku bahanga ba PVC bo muri Aziya, cyane cyane abakora ibikoresho by’ubukorikori n’abakora ibikoresho by’ubukorikori byo mu Bushinwa bishingiye kuri ethylene mu Buyapani, Koreya y’Epfo, na Tayiwani, aho ingano y’ibiryo by’ingenzi bya naphtha yahungabanyijwe cyane n’intambara.
Bharadwaj yagize ati: “Ingaruka ku itangwa rya peteroli, ndetse n’itangwa rya nafta rituruka mu Burasirazuba bwo Hagati, ni zikomeye cyane, ku bahanga ba PVC bo muri Aziya.”
“Ibi byatumye bakora ku giciro gito. Net-net, icyo tubona ni uko uburebure bw’umuyoboro w’ibicuruzwa byazamutse cyane, bigatuma ibiciro bya PVC bizamuka cyane, kandi tuzaba abagenerwabikorwa babyo mu gihembwe cya kabiri.”
Umuyobozi Mukuru yavuze ko inyungu ku giciro cya Orbia mu miterere yayo - bitewe n’uko umusaruro wayo ushingiye ahanini ku bikomoka ku bimera bya ethane biva ku nkombe y’inyanja ya Amerika - itigeze ihinduka cyane mu gihe cy’intambara, bigatuma isosiyete yirinda ihungabana ry’ibicuruzwa ryagongaga abanywanyi bo muri Aziya.
Yavuze ko nubwo intambara yarangira mu gihe cya vuba, ibyangiritse ku bijyanye n'uruhererekane rw'ibikoresho bizafata igihe kugira ngo bibe bisanzwe.
Yongeyeho ati: “Impuguke nyinshi zivuga ko nubwo intambara yarangira vuba, ihungabana ry’ibicuruzwa ryatewe ryafata nibura amezi atatu kugeza kuri atandatu kugira ngo rigabanuke.”
Igihe cyo kohereza: 30 Mata-2026

