Kwinjira mu 2023, kubera ubukene bukabije mu turere dutandukanye, isoko ya polyvinyl chloride ku isi (PVC) iracyafite ibibazo.Hafi ya 2022, ibiciro bya PVC muri Aziya no muri Amerika byagaragaje ko byagabanutse cyane kandi bikamanuka mbere yo kwinjira mu 2023. Kwinjira mu 2023, mu turere dutandukanye, nyuma yuko Ubushinwa bwahinduye politiki yo gukumira no kurwanya icyorezo, isoko riteganya ko ryitabira;Amerika irashobora kuzamura igipimo cy’inyungu mu rwego rwo kurwanya ifaranga no kugabanya icyifuzo cya PVC mu gihugu muri Amerika.Aziya, iyobowe n'Ubushinwa, na Amerika byaguye ibyoherezwa mu mahanga PVC mu gihe isi ikennye.Naho Uburayi, aka karere kazakomeza guhura n’ikibazo cy’ibiciro by’ingufu nyinshi ndetse n’ubukungu bwifashe nabi, kandi birashoboka ko hatazabaho iterambere rirambye mu nyungu z’inganda.
Uburayi buhura n’ubukungu
Abitabiriye isoko biteze ko soda ya caustic soda hamwe na PVC imyumvire yisoko muri 2023 biterwa nuburemere bwubukungu ndetse ningaruka zabyo kubisabwa.Mu ruganda rwa chlor-alkali, inyungu yabatunganya iterwa ningaruka zingana hagati ya soda ya caustic na PVC resin, aho igicuruzwa kimwe gishobora kwishyura igihombo cyikindi.Muri 2021, ibicuruzwa byombi bizakenerwa cyane, hamwe na PVC yiganje.Ariko mu 2022, icyifuzo cya PVC cyaragabanutse kuko umusaruro wa chlor-alkali wahatiwe kugabanya umutwaro hagati y’ibiciro bya soda ya caustic yazamutse kubera ibibazo by’ubukungu ndetse n’igiciro kinini cy’ingufu.Ibibazo bya gaze ya Chlorine byatumye soda ikungahaye cyane, bikurura ibicuruzwa byinshi ku mizigo yo muri Amerika, bituma ibiciro byoherezwa muri Amerika bigera ku rwego rwo hejuru kuva mu 2004. Muri icyo gihe, ibiciro bya PVC mu Burayi byagabanutse cyane, ariko bizakomeza mu hejuru cyane ku isi kugeza mu mpera za 2022.
Abitabiriye isoko bategereje izindi ntege nke mu isoko ry’iburayi rya soda na PVC mu gice cya mbere cy’umwaka wa 2023, kubera ko abaguzi ba nyuma bagabanuka bitewe n’ifaranga.Umucuruzi wa soda ya caustic yavuze mu Gushyingo 2022 ati: “Ibiciro bya soda ya caustic biri hejuru bitera kwangirika.”Icyakora, bamwe mu bacuruzi bavuze ko soda ya caustic na PVC bizagenda neza mu 2023, kandi n’abakora ibicuruzwa by’i Burayi bashobora kubyungukiramo muri iki gihe Kubiciro bya soda ya caustic.
Kugabanuka kw'ibisabwa muri Amerika byongera ibyoherezwa mu mahanga
Amakuru aturuka ku isoko avuga ko kwinjira mu 2023, abahinzi ba chlor-alkali bahurijwe hamwe bazakomeza gukora imirimo myinshi kandi bakomeze ibiciro bya soda ya caustic, mu gihe ibiciro bya PVC bidakenewe ndetse n’ibisabwa biteganijwe ko bizakomeza.Kuva muri Gicurasi 2022, igiciro cyoherezwa mu mahanga cya PVC muri Amerika cyagabanutseho hafi 62%, mu gihe igiciro cyoherezwa mu mahanga cya soda caustic cyazamutseho hafi 32% kuva muri Gicurasi kugeza mu Gushyingo 2022, hanyuma gitangira kugabanuka.Ubushobozi bwa soda ya caustic yo muri Amerika bwagabanutseho 9% kuva muri Werurwe 2021, bitewe ahanini n’uruhererekane rw’ibura muri Olin, ari naryo ryashyigikiraga ibiciro bya soda ya caustic.Kwinjira 2023, imbaraga zibiciro bya soda ya caustic nazo zizacika intege, nubwo igipimo cyo kugabanuka gishobora gutinda.
Westlake Chemical, umwe mu bakora Amerika muri PVC resin, nayo yagabanije ibicuruzwa byayo kandi yagura ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga kubera ubushake buke bwa plastiki ziramba.Nubwo umuvuduko w’izamuka ry’inyungu z’Amerika ushobora gutuma izamuka ry’imbere mu gihugu, abitabiriye isoko bavuga ko kuzamuka kw’isi biterwa n’uko icyifuzo cy’imbere mu Bushinwa cyongeye kwiyongera.
Wibande kubishobora gukenerwa mubushinwa
Isoko rya PVC ryo muri Aziya rishobora kongera kwiyongera mu ntangiriro za 2023, ariko amasoko avuga ko kuzamuka bizakomeza kuba bike niba icyifuzo cy’abashinwa kituzuye neza.Ibiciro bya PVC muri Aziya bizagabanuka cyane mu 2022, aho amagambo yavuzwe mu Kuboza uwo mwaka yageze ku rwego rwo hasi kuva muri Kamena 2020. Urwo rwego rw’ibiciro rusa nkaho rwatumye habaho kugura ahantu, bigatuma ibyifuzo by’uko iyi slide ishobora kuba yaramanutse.
Inkomoko yanagaragaje ko ugereranije na 2022, itangwa rya PVC muri Aziya mu 2023 rishobora kuguma ku rwego rwo hasi, kandi igipimo cy’imizigo gikora kizagabanuka bitewe n’ingaruka z’umusaruro uva hejuru.Inkomoko z’ubucuruzi ziteganya ko imizigo ya PVC ikomoka muri Amerika muri Aziya izagenda gahoro mu ntangiriro za 2023. Icyakora, amakuru aturuka muri Amerika yavuze ko niba Ubushinwa bwongeye kwiyongera, bigatuma igabanuka ry’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu Bushinwa PVC, bishobora gutuma ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga byiyongera.
Nk’uko imibare ya gasutamo ibigaragaza, mu Bushinwa ibyoherezwa mu mahanga PVC byageze kuri toni 278.000 muri Mata 2022. Ibicuruzwa byoherejwe na PVC mu Bushinwa byagabanutse nyuma mu 2022, kubera ko ibiciro byoherezwa mu mahanga muri Amerika PVC byagabanutse, mu gihe ibiciro bya PVC byo muri Aziya byagabanutse ndetse n’ibiciro by’imizigo bikagabanuka, bityo bikagarura ubushobozi bwo guhangana ku isi ku isi muri Aziya. PVC.Kugeza mu Kwakira 2022, Ubushinwa bwa PVC bwoherezwa mu mahanga bwari toni 96.600, urwego rwo hasi cyane kuva muri Kanama 2021. Bamwe mu masoko yo muri Aziya bavuga ko icyifuzo cy'Abashinwa kizongera kwiyongera mu 2023 mu gihe iki gihugu gihindura ingamba zo kurwanya icyorezo.Ku rundi ruhande, kubera ibiciro by’umusaruro mwinshi, umuvuduko w’ibikorwa by’inganda za PVC mu Bushinwa waragabanutse uva kuri 70% ugera kuri 56% mu mpera za 2022.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Gashyantare-14-2023