Ishusho y'ubushobozi bw'inganda za PP/PE yavuguruwe: Impinduka mu by'ibidukikije no kuvugurura imishinga nk'ingingo z'ingenzi

Inganda za PP/PE mu Bushinwa (polypropylene, polyethylene) ziri mu ivugurura ry’ubushobozi bwazo, aho iterambere ry’ingenzi ririmo gutangiza uruganda rwa polyethylene rwa BASF rwa Zhanjiang hamwe n’iterambere ku mishinga mishya ya polyolefin ya PetroChina Dalian Petrochemical iyobora uru rwego mu musaruro mugari kandi uhenze.

Uruganda rwa BASF (Guangdong) rutwara toni 500.000 ku mwaka, rwahawe amasezerano na Huanqiu Contracting & Engineering Corporation, rwatangije imirimo yarwo neza kandi rukora ibikoresho byujuje ibisabwa. Uyu mushinga, ubufatanye bukomeye hagati y’ibihugu byombi bwagaragaye n’ibihugu bikomeye, ni wo mushinga munini wa BASF mu mahanga kugeza ubu. Uru ruganda ruherereye muri Pariki y’inganda ya peteroli ya Donghai Island, rukurikiza amahame y’ubwubatsi ku isi kandi ruzazamura ubwinshi bwa polyolefin mu majyepfo y’Ubushinwa. Kimwe mu bice bya BASF bya Zhanjiang Verbund bifite agaciro ka miliyari 10 z’amayero, rufite icyuma cya ethylene cracker cya toni miliyoni imwe ku mwaka n’ibikoresho byo munsi y’amazi bitanga serivisi ku modoka, ubwubatsi, ibikoresho by’ikoranabuhanga n’ibipfunyika by’ibiribwa. Uru ruganda rwashyizweho umukono mu Kuboza 2022, rurangira mu buryo bw’ikoranabuhanga muri Nzeri 2025, hanyuma rutangira gukoreshwa nyuma gato.

Intara ya Jiangsu yatangije "urutonde rushya rubi" rw'inganda zigomba kuvugururwa, rukaba ari rwo rwa mbere mu rwego rw'inganda muri iyo ntara. Iyi politiki igamije ubushobozi bwo gukora bukoresha ingufu nyinshi kandi bugatuma umusaruro ugabanuka mu nganda 17, aho ibintu 155 byagabanijwe n'ibindi 420 byakuweho (ibikoresho 283, ibikoresho 137). Imishinga yagabanijwe ishobora kuvugurura ikoranabuhanga cyangwa kwimurwa, mu gihe iyakuweho ishobora gufungwa buhoro buhoro. Imibare y'ikoreshwa ry'ingufu rirenze iryo mu gihugu, izahindurwa mu buryo buhamye, igamije kunoza imikorere myiza y'umutungo.

Inganda za PP/PE zo mu Bushinwa ziteganijwe kwiyongera mu 2026, aho hateganijwe toni miliyoni 5.12 za polyethylene nshya na toni miliyoni 3.78 za polypropylene nshya. Indi raporo y’inganda iteganya ko ubushobozi bwa polypropylene bushobora kwiyongeraho toni miliyoni 5.65, bigatuma umusaruro wose urenga toni miliyoni 50. Ubushobozi bushya bwinshi buzatangira gukoreshwa mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka. Imishinga y’ingenzi irimo PetroChina Dalian Petrochemical's Xizhongdao refinement and chemical complex ya miliyari 68.5 ya yuan, igiye gutangira gukoreshwa mu 2026. Umushinga wo kwimura uzakubiyemo polypropylene ya toni 400.000 ku mwaka, polyethylene yuzuye ya toni 900.000 ku mwaka na toni 300.000 ku mwaka, hamwe n’ibikoresho bya polyethylene bya toni miliyoni 10 ku mwaka na toni miliyoni 1.2 ku mwaka.

Abasesenguzi b’inganda bavuga ko nubwo kwagura ubushobozi bizatuma umusaruro wiyongera, bishobora kongera ipiganwa ku isoko. Iterambere ry’igihe kirekire rizashyigikirwa no gukwirakwiza ibikoresho fatizo, guhindura ibidukikije no kuvugurura ubushobozi bwo mu rwego rwo hejuru. Biteganijwe ko ubushobozi bwa polypropylene mu Bushinwa buzongera toni zirenga miliyoni 23 mu myaka itanu, bikazamura ubushobozi bwo kwihaza no kugabanya kwishingikiriza ku bicuruzwa biva mu mahanga kugeza munsi ya 15% mu 2030.