Icyerekezo cy'isoko ry'ibicuruzwa bya pulasitiki byoherezwa mu mahanga muri polistirene (PS) 2025: Icyerekezo, imbogamizi n'amahirwe

Incamake y'Isoko

Isoko ry’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga rya polystyrene (PS) ririmo kwinjira mu cyiciro cy’impinduka mu 2025, aho ingano y’ubucuruzi iteganijwe kugera kuri toni miliyoni 8.5 zifite agaciro ka miliyari 12.3 z’amadolari y’Amerika. Ibi bigaragaza ko ubukungu bwa CAGR buzaba ku kigero cya 3.8% ugereranije n’urwego rwa 2023, bitewe n’imiterere y’ibikenewe n’impinduka mu mikorere y’uruhererekane rw’ibicuruzwa mu karere.

Ibyiciro by'ingenzi by'isoko:

• GPPS (Crystal PS): 55% by'ibicuruzwa byose byoherezwa mu mahanga
• HIPS (Ingaruka nini): 35% by'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga
• EPS (Yaguzwe PS): 10% kandi yihuta cyane kuri 6.2% CAGR

Imiterere y'Ubucuruzi mu Karere

Aziya-Pasifika (72% by'ibyoherezwa ku isi)

1. Ubushinwa:
   • Kugumana umugabane wa 45% by'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga nubwo hari amategeko agenga ibidukikije
   • Kongera ubushobozi bushya mu ntara za Zhejiang na Guangdong (toni miliyoni 1.2 ku mwaka)
   • Ibiciro bya FOB byitezwe hagati ya $1,150-$1,300/MT
2. Aziya y'Amajyepfo y'Uburasirazuba:
   • Vietnam na Maleziya byagaragaye nk'abatanga serivisi z'inyongera
   • Biteganijwe ko 18% by'izamuka ry'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga bizaterwa no kugurisha ibicuruzwa mu buryo bunyuranye
   • Igiciro gihiganwa kiri hagati ya $1,100-$1,250/MT

Uburasirazuba bwo Hagati (15% by'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga)

• Arabiya Sawudite na UAE bifashisha inyungu z'ibiribwa
• Inzu nshya ya Sadara iri kongera umusaruro
• Ibiciro bya CFR Europe birahanitse kuri $1,350-$1,450/MT

Uburayi (8% by'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga)

• Ibande ku manota yihariye n'ikoreshwa rya PS risubiwemo
• Ubwinshi bw'ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga bwagabanutseho 3% bitewe n'inzitizi z'umusaruro
• Igiciro cy'igiciro cyihariye ku manota arambye (+20-25%)

Ibikoresho bitwara abantu mu gihe bashaka akazi n'imbogamizi

Ibyiciro by'Iterambere:

1. Udushya mu gupakira
   • Gusaba GPPS isobanutse neza mu mapaki y'ibiribwa by'igiciro cyinshi (+9% ku mwaka)
   • EPS irambye yo gupakira ibikoresho birinda indwara
2. Ubwiyongere bw'Ubwubatsi
   • Gukenera insulation ya EPS ku masoko ya Aziya n'ay'Iburasirazuba bwo Hagati
   • Imikoreshereze yoroheje ya sima yatumye habaho iterambere rya 12%
3. Ikoranabuhanga rikoreshwa n'abaguzi
   • HIPS ku mazu y'ibikoresho n'ibikoresho byo mu biro

Imbogamizi ku isoko:

• Kubuza gukoresha plastiki rimwe gusa bigira ingaruka kuri 18% by'ikoreshwa rya PS risanzwe
• Ihindagurika ry'ibikoresho fatizo (ibiciro bya benzene bihindagurika hagati ya 15-20%)
• Ibiciro by'ibicuruzwa byiyongeraho 25-30% ku nzira z'ingenzi zo kohereza ibicuruzwa

Impinduka mu Kuramba

Ingaruka ku mabwiriza:

• Amabwiriza ya EU SUP agabanya PS yoherezwa mu mahanga ho MT 150.000 buri mwaka
• Gahunda zo kongera inshingano z'umukozi (EPR) zongereyeho 8-12% ku giciro
• Amategeko mashya yo kongera gukoresha ibikubiye mu bubiko (nibura 30% ku masoko y'ingenzi)

Ibisubizo Bishya:

• Inganda zikora imiti ikoreshwa mu kongera gukoresha imiti zigiye gukoreshwa mu Burayi/Aziya
• Iterambere rya PS rishingiye kuri Bio (imishinga 5 y'igerageza iteganijwe mu 2025)
• rPS (PS yasubiwemo) y'igiciro kiri ku kigero cya 15-20% ugereranyije n'ibikoresho bidafite isuku

Icyerekezo cya Politiki y'Ibiciro n'Ubucuruzi

Ibiciro bihagaze:

• Ibiciro byo kohereza ibicuruzwa muri Aziya biteganijwe hagati ya $1,100 na $1,400 kuri MT
• Amanota yihariye y'i Burayi ari hagati ya $1,600 na $1,800/MT
• Amerika y'Epfo igura ibiciro by'ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga biri hagati ya $1,500-$1,650/MT

Iterambere rya Politiki y'Ubucuruzi:

• Imisoro ishoboka yo kurwanya inyerezwa ry'umutungo ku kigo cy'ubucuruzi cy'Abashinwa mu masoko menshi
• Ibisabwa bishya mu nyandiko zijyanye no kubungabunga ibidukikije
• Amasezerano y'ubucuruzi yihariye ashyigikira abatanga serivisi za ASEAN

Inama z'ingamba

1. Ingamba z'ibicuruzwa:
   • Hindura ukoreshe porogaramu zifite agaciro gakomeye (ubuvuzi, ibikoresho by'ikoranabuhanga)
   • Tegura ingano y'ibiribwa ijyanye n'ibyo kurya
   • Shyira imari mu byiciro bya PS byahinduwe hamwe n'imiterere myiza y'ubuzima burambye
2. Gutandukanya imiterere y'isi:
   • Kwagura amasoko y'iterambere ry'ubukungu muri Afurika no muri Aziya y'Epfo
   • Shyiraho ubufatanye mu gutunganya ibikoresho mu Burayi/Amerika ya Ruguru
   • Koresha ASEAN FTAs ​​kugira ngo ubone inyungu ku misoro
3. Indashyikirwa mu mikorere:
   • Kunoza imikorere y'ibicuruzwa binyuze mu ngamba zo kugana hafi y'uruzitiro
   • Shyira mu bikorwa ikurikiranwa ry'ikoranabuhanga kugira ngo habeho kubahiriza amategeko arambye
   • Tegura sisitemu zo gufunga amasoko y'igiciro cyinshi

Isoko ry’ubucuruzi bw’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga muri 2025 rifite imbogamizi zikomeye n’amahirwe akomeye. Ibigo bizagenda neza mu mpinduka zirambye mu gihe bibyaza umusaruro porogaramu nshya zizaba zishoboye kubona isoko muri ubu buryo burimo gutera imbere.