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Polyolefin yohereza ibicuruzwa muri 2025: Ninde uzayobora ubwiyongere bukabije?

Aka karere kazagira uruhare runini mu byoherezwa mu mahanga mu 2024 ni Aziya y'Amajyepfo y'Uburasirazuba, bityo Aziya y'Amajyepfo y'Uburasirazuba ikaba ishyizwe imbere mu 2025. Mu rutonde rw’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu karere mu 2024, umwanya wa mbere wa LLDPE, LDPE, ifishi yambere ya PP, hamwe no gukumira kopolymerisation ni Aziya y’amajyepfo y’iburasirazuba bwa Aziya, mu yandi magambo, aho ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga byoherezwa mu mahanga 4 kuri 6 mu byiciro 6 by’ibicuruzwa bya polyolefine ni Aziya y’Amajyepfo y’Amajyepfo.

Ibyiza: Aziya y Amajyepfo yAmajyepfo ni agace k’amazi n’Ubushinwa kandi gafite amateka maremare y’ubufatanye. Mu 1976, ASEAN yashyize umukono ku Masezerano y’Ubufatanye n’ubutwererane mu majyepfo y’iburasirazuba bwa Aziya hagamijwe guteza imbere amahoro, ubucuti n’ubufatanye bihoraho hagati y’ibihugu byo mu karere, maze Ubushinwa bwinjira mu masezerano ku mugaragaro ku ya 8 Ukwakira 2003. Umubano mwiza washyizeho urufatiro rw’ubucuruzi. Icya kabiri, mu majyepfo yuburasirazuba bwa Aziya mumyaka yashize, usibye Vietnam Longshan Petrochemical, inganda nini nini nini za polyolefine zashyizwe mubikorwa, kandi biteganijwe ko zizakomeza kuba nke mumyaka mike iri imbere, ibyo bikaba bigabanya impungenge zitangwa, nibisabwa. icyuho kizabaho igihe kirekire. Aziya y’amajyepfo y’iburasirazuba n’akarere kifuzwa cyane mu kongera ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga by’abacuruzi b’Abashinwa, kandi bihamye neza.

Ibibi: Nubwo Aziya y'Amajyepfo y'Uburasirazuba imeze neza n'Ubushinwa muri rusange, amakimbirane mato yo mu karere aracyabura byanze bikunze. Mu myaka myinshi ishize, Ubushinwa bwiyemeje guteza imbere amahame agenga imyitwarire mu nyanja y’Ubushinwa kugira ngo inyungu rusange z’impande zose. Icya kabiri, gukumira ibicuruzwa biriyongera ku isi hose, nka Indoneziya mu ntangiriro z'Ukuboza byatangiye iperereza ryo kurwanya ibicuruzwa biva mu bwoko bwa polipropilene bava muri Arabiya Sawudite, Filipine, Koreya y'Epfo, Maleziya, Ubushinwa, Singapore, Tayilande na Vietnam. Iki cyemezo, kigamije kurinda amasosiyete yo mu gihugu kandi bisabwe n’amasosiyete yo mu gihugu, ntabwo kireba Ubushinwa bwonyine, ahubwo ni ibihugu nyamukuru biva mu mahanga. Nubwo idashobora gukumira burundu ibicuruzwa bitumizwa mu mahanga, byanze bikunze ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa bizagabanuka ku rugero runaka, kandi Ubushinwa nabwo bugomba kuba maso ku iperereza ryerekeye kurwanya ibicuruzwa muri Indoneziya mu 2025.

Twavuze haruguru ko bine mu byiciro bitandatu byambere by’ibicuruzwa bya polyolefin bigaruriwe na Aziya y’Amajyepfo y’Amajyepfo, mu gihe ibicuruzwa bibiri bisigaye bifata umwanya wa mbere ni Afurika, aho igana umubare munini w’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga na HDPE, na Aziya y’Amajyaruguru y’Amajyaruguru, aho igana hamwe nini cyane umubare wubundi buryo bwo kohereza PP hanze. Ariko, ugereranije na Aziya y'Amajyaruguru y'Uburasirazuba, Afurika ifata umwanya wa kabiri wa LDPE kandi ikumira cololymerisation. Ubwanditsi rero bwashyize Afrika kumwanya wa kabiri kurutonde rwibice byihutirwa.

Ibyiza: Birazwi neza ko Ubushinwa bufite ubufatanye bwimbitse na Afurika, kandi bwagiye bufasha Afurika inshuro nyinshi. Ubushinwa na Afurika byita ubufatanye bwuzuye bw’ubufatanye, bufite ishingiro ryimbitse ry’ubucuti. Nkuko byavuzwe haruguru, gukumira ibicuruzwa biriyongera ku isi hose, kuri ubu, birashoboka cyane ko Afurika itazakurikiza umuvuduko w’iburengerazuba kugira ngo ifate ingamba nk'izo ku Bushinwa, kandi ukurikije uko itangwa n'ibisabwa, irabikora. ntabwo dushyigikiye ishyirwa mubikorwa ryingamba nkubu. Muri iki gihe Afurika ifite umusaruro wa polypropilene ugera kuri toni miliyoni 2.21 ku mwaka, harimo toni 830.000 ku mwaka uruganda muri Nijeriya rwaje gutemba muri uyu mwaka. Ubushobozi bwa polyethylene bwa toni miliyoni 1.8 / mwaka, muri bwo HDPE yose hamwe ni toni 838.000 / umwaka. Ugereranije n'ibibera muri Indoneziya, umusaruro wa PP muri Afurika wikubye inshuro 2,36 gusa ugereranije na Indoneziya, ariko abaturage bayo bakubye inshuro 5 ugereranije na Indoneziya, ariko twakagombye kuvuga ko ubukene bwa Afurika buri hejuru ugereranije na Indoneziya, kandi ingufu zikoreshwa ni bisanzwe kugabanywa. Ariko mugihe kirekire, iracyari isoko ifite ubushobozi bukomeye.

Ibibi: Inganda z’amabanki nyafurika ntabwo zateye imbere, kandi uburyo bwo gukemura ni buke. Buri gihe hariho impande ebyiri kuri buri giceri, kandi ibyiza bya Afurika nabyo ni imbogamizi zabyo, kubera ko ubushobozi bw'ejo hazaza bugikeneye igihe cyo kubigaragaza, ariko icyifuzo kiriho kiracyari gito, nkuko byavuzwe haruguru haracyari ingufu zidahagije zo gukoresha. Kandi Afurika itumiza byinshi muburasirazuba bwo hagati, igasiga igihugu cyacu amahirwe make. Icya kabiri, kubera ubushobozi buke bwa Afurika bwo guhangana n’imyanda ya pulasitike, uko imyaka yagiye ihita, ibihugu byinshi byashyizeho amategeko abuza plastike kandi birabuza. Kugeza ubu, ibihugu 34 byose byatanze itegeko ribuza imifuka ya pulasitike imwe.

Kuri Amerika y'Epfo, Ubushinwa bwohereza cyane cyane polypropilene, mu buryo bwo kohereza ibicuruzwa kuva muri Mutarama kugeza Ukwakira uyu mwaka, Amerika y'Epfo iri mu mwanya wa kabiri w’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga bya PP, umwanya wa gatatu w’ubundi buryo bwoherezwa mu mahanga PP, n’ahantu ha gatatu h’ibikorwa bya kopi. ibyoherezwa mu mahanga. Muri polypropilene yohereza hanze iri muri bitatu bya mbere. Birashobora kugaragara ko Amerika yepfo ifata umwanya mubushinwa bwohereza ibicuruzwa bya polipropilene.

Ibyiza: Ibihugu byo muri Amerika yepfo n’Ubushinwa ntaho bivuguruzanya cyane bisigaye mu mateka, Ubushinwa na Berezile mu buhinzi n’ubufatanye bw’ingufu z’ibidukikije bigenda byegereza, umufatanyabikorwa mukuru wa Amerika yepfo kuva Amerika kuva Trump yagera ku butegetsi gushyiraho imisoro ku bicuruzwa by’isi na byo byateje itandukaniro runaka mubucuruzi bwa Amerika yepfo nubucuruzi bwayo. Gahunda y'ibihugu byo muri Amerika yepfo yo gufatanya nigihugu cyacu nayo iriyongera umunsi kumunsi. Icya kabiri, impuzandengo yisoko muri Amerika yepfo irarenze igiciro cyisoko mugihugu cyacu mugihe kirekire, kandi hariho amahirwe menshi yo gukemura amakimbirane yo mukarere Windows hamwe ninyungu nyinshi.

Ibibi: Kimwe na Aziya y'Amajyepfo y'Uburasirazuba, Amerika y'Epfo nayo ifite ubucuruzi bwo gukumira ibicuruzwa, kandi muri uyu mwaka Burezili yafashe iyambere mu gushyira mu bikorwa amahoro kuri polyolefine yatumijwe mu mahanga kuva kuri 12,6% kugeza kuri 20%. Intego ya Berezile nkiya Indoneziya, kurinda inganda zayo. Icya kabiri, Ubushinwa na Berezile, iburasirazuba n'iburengerazuba hamwe n'amajyaruguru n'amajyepfo y'isi byombi biradandabirana, inzira ndende, ubwato burebure. Mubisanzwe bifata iminsi 25-30 kugirango uve ku nkombe yuburengerazuba bwa Amerika yepfo ujya mubushinwa, niminsi 30-35 kugirango uve muburasirazuba bwa Amerika yepfo ugana mubushinwa. Kubwibyo, idirishya ryohereza hanze ryibasiwe cyane nubwikorezi bwo mu nyanja. Amarushanwa arakomeye kimwe, ayobowe na Amerika na Kanada, agakurikirwa n'Uburasirazuba bwo hagati na Koreya y'Epfo.

Nubwo abanditsi batondekanya imbaraga gusa ahubwo nintege nke zakarere k’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga, baracyabashyira ku mwanya wambere w’iterambere ry’icyizere. Impamvu imwe y'ingenzi ishingiye ku mateka yoherejwe mu mahanga kuva mu mwaka ushize ndetse no mu myaka yashize. Ibyibanze byibanze, kurwego runaka, byerekana kubaho kwukuri, kandi mubyukuri ni inzira ndende kugirango impinduka zingenzi zibeho. Niba ibintu bigomba guhinduka mugihe gito, umwanditsi yizera ko hagomba kubahirizwa ibi bikurikira:
1) Amakimbirane akaze mu karere, harimo ariko ntagarukira gusa ku gutangira intambara ishyushye, izamuka ry’ubucuruzi bw’ubucuruzi n’ubundi buryo bukomeye.
2) Impinduka nini mubitangwa mukarere bizahindura itangwa nibisabwa, ariko ibi ntibishobora kurangira mugihe gito. Mubisanzwe bifata igihe kirekire kuva umusaruro wambere kugeza kuzenguruka ibicuruzwa kumasoko.
3) Kurinda ubucuruzi n'inzitizi z’amahoro zigamije gusa Ubushinwa. Bitandukanye n’ingamba zafashwe muri Indoneziya na Berezile, niba ibiciro byibanda cyane ku bicuruzwa by’Ubushinwa gusa, aho kubitumizwa mu mahanga byose, nkuko Indoneziya na Berezile byabikoze muri uyu mwaka, ubwo ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu Bushinwa bizagira ingaruka zikomeye, kandi ibicuruzwa bizoherezwa hagati uturere.
Ibi bintu mubyukuri nibibazo bikabije kubucuruzi bwisi yose. Nubwo ibintu byavuzwe haruguru bitujujwe muri iki gihe, ubufatanye bw’isi buracyafatanije kandi bugomba gukoreshwa mu byerekezo bitandukanye. Ariko gukumira ibicuruzwa n’amakimbirane yo mu karere byagaragaye cyane mu myaka yashize. Gufata neza no gutera imbere mubyoherezwa mu mahanga bigomba kandi gukurikiranirwa hafi iterambere n'amahirwe mu tundi turere.

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Igihe cyo kohereza: Ukuboza-20-2024