Polyakarubone (PC) Ibikoresho bya plastiki byoherejwe byoherezwa hanze 2025

Incamake Nshingwabikorwa

Isoko ryoherezwa mu mahanga rya polikarubone ku isi (PC) ryiteguye guhinduka cyane mu 2025, bitewe n’uburyo bukenewe, inshingano zirambye, hamwe n’ubucuruzi bwa geopolitiki. Nka plastiki yubuhanga ikora cyane, PC ikomeje kugira uruhare runini mubinyabiziga, ibikoresho bya elegitoroniki, hamwe nubuvuzi, hamwe n’isoko ryohereza ibicuruzwa hanze ku isi biteganijwe ko rizagera kuri miliyari 5.8 z'amadolari mu mpera z'umwaka wa 2025, rikazamuka kuri CAGR ya 4.2% kuva mu 2023.

Abashoferi b'isoko n'ibigenda

1. Iterambere ryihariye ryumurenge

• Ibinyabiziga bitanga amashanyarazi: PC yohereza ibicuruzwa bya EV (ibyambu byishyuza, inzu ya batiri, ubuyobozi bwumucyo) biteganijwe ko iziyongera 18% YoY
• Kwagura ibikorwa remezo 5G: kwiyongera 25% kubisabwa kubice bya PC byihuta cyane mubitumanaho
• Ibikoresho bishya byubuvuzi: Gukura ibicuruzwa byoherejwe na PC yo mu rwego rwubuvuzi kubikoresho byo kubaga nibikoresho byo gusuzuma

2. Ibikorwa byohereza ibicuruzwa mu karere

Aziya-Pasifika (65% byoherezwa mu mahanga)

• Ubushinwa: Gukomeza kwiganza hamwe n’umugabane wa 38% ariko uhura n’inzitizi z’ubucuruzi
• Koreya y'Epfo: Kugaragara nk'umuyobozi mwiza ufite ubwiyongere bwa 12% muri PC yo mu rwego rwo hejuru
• Ubuyapani: Kwibanda kumanota yihariye ya PC kubikorwa bya optique

Uburayi (18% byoherezwa mu mahanga)

• Ubudage n'Ubuholandi biza ku isonga mu kohereza ibicuruzwa hanze PC
• Kwiyongera 15% mubyoherejwe na PC (rPC) byoherejwe kugirango ubukungu buzenguruke

Amerika y'Amajyaruguru (12% byoherezwa mu mahanga)

• Ibyoherezwa muri Amerika byimukira muri Mexico nkuko biteganijwe na USMCA
• Kanada igaragara nkutanga bio-ishingiye kuri PC ubundi buryo

Ubucuruzi n'Ibiciro

1. Ibiciro Byibikoresho Byateganijwe

• Ibiciro bya Benzene biteganijwe ko $ 850- $ 950 / MT, bigira ingaruka ku bicuruzwa bya PC
• Aziya yohereza ibicuruzwa muri FOB ibiciro biteganijwe ko bizagera ku $ 2.800- $ 3,200 / MT ku cyiciro gisanzwe
• Ubuvuzi-bwo mu rwego rwa PC bugera kuri 25-30% hejuru yubusanzwe

2. Ingaruka za Politiki y'Ubucuruzi

• Ibiciro 8-12% kubicuruzwa bya PC byo mubushinwa byohereza muburayi na Amerika ya ruguru
• Impamyabumenyi irambye isabwa ku bicuruzwa bitumizwa mu Burayi (EPD, Cradle-to-Cradle)
• Ubucuruzi bw’Amerika n'Ubushinwa butanga amahirwe ku bohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga mu majyepfo y'uburasirazuba bwa Aziya

Ahantu nyaburanga

Ingamba zingenzi zo kohereza hanze muri 2025

1. Umwihariko wibicuruzwa: Gutezimbere flame-retardant hamwe nibyiza byo hejuru
2. Icyerekezo kirambye: Gushora imari mu buhanga bwo gutunganya imiti
3. Gutandukanya Uturere: Gushiraho umusaruro mubihugu bya ASEAN kugirango wirengagize ibiciro

Inzitizi n'amahirwe

Inzitizi zikomeye

• Kwiyongera 15-20% mugiciro cyo kubahiriza ibyemezo bya REACH na FDA
• Irushanwa riva mubindi bikoresho (PMMA, PET yahinduwe)
• Ihungabana ry’ibikoresho mu nyanja Itukura na Canal ya Panama bigira ingaruka kubiciro byoherezwa

Amahirwe Yavutse

• Uburasirazuba bwo hagati bwinjira ku isoko hamwe nubushobozi bushya bwo gukora
• Afurika nkiterambere ryisoko ryinjira muri PC yo mu rwego rwo kubaka
• Ubukungu buzenguruka butanga isoko rya miliyari 1.2 z'amadolari yo kongera ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga PC

Umwanzuro n'ibyifuzo

Isoko ryohereza ibicuruzwa muri PC 2025 ryerekana ibibazo n'amahirwe akomeye. Kohereza ibicuruzwa hanze bigomba:

1. Gutandukanya ishingiro ry'umusaruro kugirango ugabanye ingaruka za politiki
2. Gushora mu musaruro urambye kugirango wuzuze ibipimo by’ubumwe bw’ibihugu by’Uburayi n’Amerika y'Amajyaruguru
3. Gutezimbere amanota yihariye yo gukura cyane EV na 5G
4. Gushiraho ubufatanye naba recyclers kugirango babyaze umusaruro ubukungu bwizunguruka

Hamwe nigenamigambi ryiza, abohereza ibicuruzwa hanze barashobora kugendana nubucuruzi bugoye 2025 mugihe bashora inyungu zikenewe mubisekuruza bizaza.