1. Incamake y'Isoko ry'Isi
Isoko ryo kohereza hanze rya polyethylene tereftalate (PET) biteganijwe ko rizagera kuri toni miliyoni 42 mu 2025, bikaba bingana na 5.3% by'izamuka ry'ubukungu buri mwaka ugereranyije n'urwego rwa 2023. Aziya ikomeje kwigarurira ubucuruzi bw'ibikomoka ku matungo maremare ku isi, ikaba ifite 68% by'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga byose, hagakurikiraho Uburasirazuba bwo Hagati kuri 19% na Amerika kuri 9%.
Ibintu by'ingenzi bihindura isoko:
- Ubukene bw'amazi n'ibinyobwa bidasembuye buri kwiyongera mu bihugu biri mu nzira y'amajyambere
- Kongera gukoresha PET (rPET) mu gupakira
- Iterambere ry'umusaruro wa polyester fibre ku myenda
- Kwagura uburyo bwo gukoresha PET mu rwego rw'ibiribwa
2. Imiterere y'ibikorwa byo kohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga mu karere
Aziya-Pasifika (68% by'ibyoherezwa ku isi)
- Ubushinwa: Biteganijwe ko buzakomeza kugira umugabane ku isoko wa 45% nubwo hari amategeko agenga ibidukikije, hamwe n’ubushobozi bushya bwo kongera mu ntara za Zhejiang na Fujian
- Ubuhinde: Umucuruzi wohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga wihuta cyane ku kigero cya 14% cy'umwaka, akungukira muri gahunda zo gushishikariza umusaruro zijyanye n'ibyo akora
- Aziya y'Amajyepfo y'Uburasirazuba: Vietnam na Tayilande nibo batanga serivisi zitandukanye ku giciro cyiza ($1,050-$1,150/MT FOB)
Uburasirazuba bwo Hagati (19% by'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga)
- Arabiya Sawudite na UAE bifashisha uruhererekane rw'agaciro rwa PX-PTA
- Ibiciro by'ingufu bihangana bikomeza inyungu iri hagati ya 10-12%
- Ibiciro bya CFR Europe biteganijwe kuva kuri $1,250 kugeza $1,350/MT
Amerika (9% by'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga)
- Megizike ikomeje umwanya wayo nk'ikigo cy'ubucuruzi bw'ibirango byo muri Amerika
- Brezili iri ku isonga mu bucuruzi bw’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga muri Amerika y'Epfo, aho ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga byiyongeraho 8%
3. Ibiciro bihagaze neza na politiki y'ubucuruzi
Ishusho y'ibiciro:
- Ibiciro byo kohereza ibicuruzwa muri Aziya biteganijwe ku gipimo cya $1,100-$1,300/MT
- Udupira twa rPET dufite agaciro ka 15-20% ugereranyije n'ibikoresho bidafite isuku
- Amacupa ya PET yo mu rwego rwo hejuru y’ibiribwa yitezwe kuri $1,350-$1,500/MT
Iterambere rya Politiki y'Ubucuruzi:
- Amabwiriza mashya y’Umuryango w’Ubumwe bw’u Burayi asaba ko nibura 25% by’ibicuruzwa bishobora kongera gukoreshwa
- Imisoro ishoboka yo kurwanya inyerezwa ry'umutungo ku bashoramari bo muri Aziya batoranyijwe
- Uburyo bwo guhindura imipaka ya karuboni bugira ingaruka ku bicuruzwa bijyanwa kure
- Icyemezo cya ISCC+ cyabaye igipimo ngenderwaho mu nganda kugira ngo zikomeze kubaho
4. Ingaruka ku burambe n'ingaruka ku kongera gukoresha ibikoresho
Impinduka mu Isoko:
- Ubusabe bw'isi ku isi bwa rPET buriyongera kuri 9% CAGR kugeza muri 2025
- Ibihugu 23 bishyira mu bikorwa gahunda zo kongera inshingano ku musaruro
- Ibigo bikomeye byiyemeje kugera ku ntego 30-50% by'ibikubiye mu bubiko bishobora kongera gukoreshwa
Iterambere ry'ikoranabuhanga:
- Inganda zitunganya enzymes zigeze ku rwego rw'ubucuruzi
- Ikoranabuhanga risukura cyane rituma rPET ihura n'ibiribwa
- Inyubako 14 nshya zo kongera gukoresha imiti zikoreshwa mu gutunganya imiti ziri kubakwa ku isi yose
5. Inama z'ingamba ku bashora imari mu mahanga
- Guhindura Ibicuruzwa:
- Tegura amanota yihariye ku bikorwa bifite agaciro gakomeye
- Shyira imari mu musaruro wemewe wa rPET wemewe n'ibiryo bihuye n'ibyo kurya
- Kora ubwoko bw'imyenda ya tekiniki butuma ikora neza
- Guteza imbere imiterere y'ubutaka:
- Shyira ahantu ho gusana ibikoresho hafi y'ibigo bikomeye bikenewe
- Gukoresha amasezerano y'ubucuruzi bw'ubuntu ya ASEAN kugira ngo ubone inyungu ku misoro
- Gutegura ingamba zo kwegereza amasoko y'Iburengerazuba
- Guhuza ibikorwa birambye:
- Shaka ibyemezo mpuzamahanga by'ubudahangarwa bw'ibidukikije
- Shyiraho pasiporo z'ibicuruzwa by'ikoranabuhanga kugira ngo bikurikiranwe neza
- Gukorana n'abafite ibirango mu bikorwa byo gushyira hamwe ibikorwa byo mu rugo
Isoko ry’ibikomoka ku matungo yo mu mahanga mu 2025 ritanga imbogamizi n’amahirwe mu gihe amategeko agenga ibidukikije avugurura imiterere gakondo y’ubucuruzi. Abatumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga bazahura neza n’ibisabwa mu bukungu busanzwe ariko bagakomeza guhangana n’ibiciro bazaba bafite umwanya mwiza wo kubyaza umusaruro ibyo abantu bakenera ku isi bikomeje kwiyongera.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Kanama-06-2025